To Climate Change, Food Security and International Migration Nexus in West Africa: A Multilevel Logistic Regression Analysis for the Gambia

Ebrima Ceesay; Mohamed Ben Omar Ndiaye; Alisher Mirzabaev; Assane Beye

doi:10.56071/jian.v9i3.1286

Ebrima Ceesay Lecturer in Economics and Finance at the University of the Gambia, Banjul, The Gambia
Professor Mohammed Ben Omar Ndiaye Professor of Economics, University Cheikh Anta Diop (UCAD), Dakar, Senegal
Professor Alisher Mirzabaev Professor of agricultural economics, ZEF B: Department of Economic and Technological Change, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany
Professor Assan Beye Professor of economics,University Cheikh Anta Diop (UCAD), Dakar, Senegal.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.56071/jian.v9i3.1286

Keywords: Keywords: Climate change, Food security, International migration, Rural Gambia, Household-level data, multilevel logistic regression, Demographic characteristics, Employment patterns, migration pattern

Abstract

Abstract

Environmental migration is a growing concern in Africa. In this article we examine the interaction between climate change, food security and international migration in the rural Gambia using household-level data. We interacted food security and climate change, food security and remittance received and climate change and remittance received on the odds of international movement. To estimate the model, we used multilevel version of conversional logistic regression model. Further from our findings, we revealed that the typical international migrant from the rural Gambia comes from larger households size, with married person, and male-headed households and in which few members can read and write. Migrants were mostly employed as farmers before they migrated. Finally, the results from interaction terms indicated that the effect of drought, remittance received and changes in rainfall on the probability of migration in the rural Gambia is strongly positive while the effect of flood, salt intrusion and changes in temperature is strongly negative.

Author Biographies

Professor Mohammed Ben Omar Ndiaye, Professor of Economics, University Cheikh Anta Diop (UCAD), Dakar, Senegal

He was the main supervisor for this article

Professor Alisher Mirzabaev, Professor of agricultural economics, ZEF B: Department of Economic and Technological Change, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany

He was the second supervisor for this article.

Professor Assan Beye, Professor of economics,University Cheikh Anta Diop (UCAD), Dakar, Senegal.

He edited the article and added opinions

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